YEARLY HIGH
387.1231 UGX
YEARLY LOW
342.9051 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
366.0820 UGX

2018 BWP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BWP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 28, valuing the pair at 387.1231. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 342.9051.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 44.2181 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 373.5593 to the December average rate of 347.2888, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 387.1231 was up 4.51% compared to the 2017 peak of 370.4066, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BWP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,935,616 UGX
2017 Average 1,748,437 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,714,525 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 221,090.35 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

386.1347
343.7574
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BWP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 378.3746, compared to 353.7894 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 24.5852 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 378.3746
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 353.7894

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 19.0731 UGX (High: 361.9782 / Low: 342.9051). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.8147 UGX (High: 379.0969 / Low: 371.2823).

September Spread (Volatile) ±19.0731
May Spread (Stable) ±7.8147

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 11.6190 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.6190

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 382.1400) against the same month in 2017 (average: 349.1314), the exchange rate shifted by +33.0086 (+9.45%).

2018 Avg (March) 382.1400
2017 Avg (March) 349.1314

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 380.4971 368.2483 373.5593
February 386.3005 375.4179 380.8204
March 387.1231 378.7506 382.1400
April 386.1469 377.6460 382.6033
May 379.0969 371.2823 375.6868
June 380.6458 369.3400 375.4377
July 373.8856 360.0225 364.5072
August 359.9054 344.5264 352.8882
September 361.9782 342.9051 352.5454
October 359.6316 346.2062 354.1293
November 355.9761 346.8964 351.3773
December 356.1082 343.1910 347.2888