YEARLY HIGH
0.0222 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.0168 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0206 MDL

2016 CDF to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 0.0222. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.0168.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0054 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0219 to the December average rate of 0.0173, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0222 was up 2.09% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0218, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 111 MDL
2015 Average 101 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 84 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27.16 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0224
0.0168
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0214, compared to 0.0199 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0214
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0199

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0045 MDL (High: 0.0221 / Low: 0.0176). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 MDL (High: 0.0213 / Low: 0.0210).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0045
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0030 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0030

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0219) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0180), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0039 (+21.92%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0219
2015 Avg (January) 0.0180

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0222 0.0213 0.0219
February 0.0219 0.0214 0.0216
March 0.0217 0.0211 0.0213
April 0.0213 0.0210 0.0212
May 0.0216 0.0212 0.0213
June 0.0217 0.0205 0.0210
July 0.0210 0.0201 0.0208
August 0.0203 0.0200 0.0202
September 0.0204 0.0201 0.0202
October 0.0209 0.0201 0.0204
November 0.0221 0.0176 0.0203
December 0.0178 0.0168 0.0173