YEARLY HIGH
1.5624 MNT
YEARLY LOW
1.4099 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4760 MNT

2012 CDF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the CDF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 1.5624. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 5, dropping to 1.4099.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1525 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5314 to the December average rate of 1.5039, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.5624 was up 2.06% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.5308, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,812 MNT
2011 Average 6,898 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 7,050 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 762.56 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.5415
1.4196
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4557, compared to 1.4963 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0406 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4557
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4963

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0889 MNT (High: 1.5624 / Low: 1.4736). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0164 MNT (High: 1.5124 / Low: 1.4960).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0889
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0164

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0718 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0718

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 1.5314) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.3729), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1584 (+11.54%).

2012 Avg (January) 1.5314
2011 Avg (January) 1.3729

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5624 1.4736 1.5314
February 1.4930 1.4235 1.4596
March 1.4520 1.4298 1.4400
April 1.4412 1.4128 1.4298
May 1.4549 1.4220 1.4341
June 1.4560 1.4099 1.4397
July 1.5009 1.4276 1.4504
August 1.5134 1.4967 1.5071
September 1.5271 1.4952 1.5161
October 1.5132 1.4838 1.4957
November 1.5124 1.4960 1.5047
December 1.5116 1.4913 1.5039