YEARLY HIGH
0.0409 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.0323 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0366 RUB

2023 CDF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the CDF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 0.0409. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 0.0323.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0086 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0342 to the December average rate of 0.0335, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 0.0409 was down 42.52% compared to the 2022 peak of 0.0711, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 204 RUB
2022 Average 173 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 162 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 42.78 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

0.0395
0.0329
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0362, compared to 0.0370 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0362
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0370

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 0.0053 RUB (High: 0.0391 / Low: 0.0339). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 RUB (High: 0.0395 / Low: 0.0381).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0053
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0029 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0029

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 0.0386) against the same month in 2022 (average: 0.0302), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0083 (+27.54%).

2023 Avg (October) 0.0386
2022 Avg (October) 0.0302

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0361 0.0323 0.0342
February 0.0372 0.0340 0.0356
March 0.0379 0.0364 0.0369
April 0.0398 0.0371 0.0389
May 0.0391 0.0339 0.0363
June 0.0369 0.0342 0.0353
July 0.0375 0.0353 0.0367
August 0.0403 0.0372 0.0387
September 0.0395 0.0381 0.0389
October 0.0409 0.0362 0.0386
November 0.0377 0.0331 0.0356
December 0.0344 0.0324 0.0335