YEARLY HIGH
0.8965 RWF
YEARLY LOW
0.6862 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8082 RWF

2016 CDF to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 0.8965. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.6862.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2103 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8080 to the December average rate of 0.7086, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8965 was up 10.27% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8130, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,482 RWF
2015 Average 3,845 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 3,431 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,051.39 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8422
0.6965
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8151, compared to 0.8013 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0138 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8151
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8013

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1805 RWF (High: 0.8965 / Low: 0.7159). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0078 RWF (High: 0.8123 / Low: 0.8045).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1805
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0078

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1171 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1171

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 0.8257) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8033), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0224 (+2.79%).

2016 Avg (November) 0.8257
2015 Avg (November) 0.8033

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8123 0.8045 0.8080
February 0.8268 0.8022 0.8123
March 0.8343 0.8058 0.8176
April 0.8409 0.8117 0.8206
May 0.8309 0.8044 0.8202
June 0.8405 0.7729 0.8117
July 0.8315 0.7943 0.8107
August 0.8295 0.8028 0.8120
September 0.8278 0.8134 0.8206
October 0.8511 0.8169 0.8300
November 0.8965 0.7159 0.8257
December 0.7238 0.6862 0.7086