2021 CDF నుండి UGX చారిత్రక సమీక్ష
2021 సంవత్సరం పొడవునా మారకపు రేటు పనితీరు యొక్క సమగ్ర విశ్లేషణ.
2021 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 1.8876. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 13, dropping to 1.7561.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1314 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8703 to the December average rate of 1.7771, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.8876 was down 23.75% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.4754, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.
CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8242, compared to 1.7792 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0451 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0612 UGX (High: 1.8483 / Low: 1.7871). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0157 UGX (High: 1.8597 / Low: 1.8440).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0425 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1.8703) against the same month in 2020 (average: 2.1810), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3107 (-14.25%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1.8876 | 1.8544 | 1.8703 |
| February | 1.8597 | 1.8440 | 1.8516 |
| March | 1.8641 | 1.8335 | 1.8422 |
| April | 1.8483 | 1.7871 | 1.8228 |
| May | 1.8003 | 1.7700 | 1.7803 |
| June | 1.7909 | 1.7651 | 1.7782 |
| July | 1.7960 | 1.7691 | 1.7825 |
| August | 1.7895 | 1.7700 | 1.7793 |
| September | 1.7863 | 1.7625 | 1.7727 |
| October | 1.8148 | 1.7668 | 1.7902 |
| November | 1.7872 | 1.7561 | 1.7731 |
| December | 1.8024 | 1.7679 | 1.7771 |