YEARLY HIGH
3.4184 UZS
YEARLY LOW
2.6821 UZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.0726 UZS

2016 CDF to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 3.4184. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 2.6821.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7363 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.0384 to the December average rate of 2.7437, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.4184 was up 11.98% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.0527, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,092 UZS
2015 Average 13,861 UZS
Yearly Trough Low 13,411 UZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,681.41 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.2139
2.7009
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0982, compared to 3.0471 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0512 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0982
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0471

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.6551 UZS (High: 3.4184 / Low: 2.7633). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0248 UZS (High: 3.1005 / Low: 3.0757).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.6551
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0248

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.4275 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4275

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 3.1712) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.9259), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2452 (+8.38%).

2016 Avg (November) 3.1712
2015 Avg (November) 2.9259

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.0551 3.0213 3.0384
February 3.0794 3.0475 3.0649
March 3.1005 3.0757 3.0865
April 3.1322 3.0935 3.1182
May 3.1698 3.1237 3.1463
June 3.2305 3.0671 3.1349
July 3.1310 3.0407 3.1093
August 3.0710 3.0421 3.0524
September 3.0840 3.0442 3.0636
October 3.2223 3.0610 3.1422
November 3.4184 2.7633 3.1712
December 2.8121 2.6821 2.7437