YEARLY HIGH
5.0173 LKR
YEARLY LOW
0.8973 LKR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5365 LKR

2021 ETB to LKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ETB to LKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 24, valuing the pair at 5.0173. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.8973.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1200 LKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8581 to the December average rate of 4.0586, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.0173 was down 15.36% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.9279, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,087 LKR
2020 Average 26,629 LKR
Yearly Trough Low 4,487 LKR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,600.24 LKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.9672
3.9760
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to LKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7591, compared to 4.3138 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4453 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7591
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3138

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 3.3233 LKR (High: 4.2206 / Low: 0.8973). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0549 LKR (High: 4.5923 / Low: 4.5374).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3.3233
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0549

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1941 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1941

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4.8581) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5.6595), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8014 (-14.16%).

2021 Avg (January) 4.8581
2020 Avg (January) 5.6595

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0173 4.7069 4.8581
February 4.9755 4.8201 4.8846
March 4.9588 4.7838 4.8737
April 4.8646 4.6103 4.7479
May 4.7128 4.5434 4.6280
June 4.5923 4.5374 4.5624
July 4.5574 4.4888 4.5202
August 4.5193 4.3670 4.4219
September 4.3914 4.2910 4.3362
October 4.3226 4.2547 4.2934
November 4.2861 4.2027 4.2527
December 4.2206 0.8973 4.0586