YEARLY HIGH
0.2036 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.0355 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1832 MOP

2021 ETB to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ETB to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.2036. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.0355.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1681 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2027 to the December average rate of 0.1611, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.2036 was down 19.44% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.2527, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,018 MOP
2020 Average 1,147 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 178 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 840.28 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.2069
0.1569
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1940, compared to 0.1724 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0216 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1940
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1724

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 0.1322 MOP (High: 0.1677 / Low: 0.0355). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 MOP (High: 0.2036 / Low: 0.2018).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1322
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0078 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0078

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.2027) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.2498), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0471 (-18.84%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.2027
2020 Avg (January) 0.2498

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2036 0.2018 0.2027
February 0.2027 0.1980 0.2005
March 0.1994 0.1938 0.1975
April 0.1953 0.1902 0.1922
May 0.1910 0.1836 0.1876
June 0.1853 0.1823 0.1838
July 0.1828 0.1804 0.1816
August 0.1814 0.1754 0.1777
September 0.1760 0.1725 0.1740
October 0.1735 0.1693 0.1713
November 0.1700 0.1667 0.1689
December 0.1677 0.0355 0.1611