YEARLY HIGH
148.1741 UGX
YEARLY LOW
132.9338 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
140.9461 UGX

2012 ETB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ETB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 28, valuing the pair at 148.1741. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 132.9338.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 15.2403 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 139.3755 to the December average rate of 146.6070, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 148.1741 was down 21.93% compared to the 2011 peak of 189.8078, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 740,871 UGX
2011 Average 800,914 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 664,669 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 76,201.34 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

147.8178
133.2873
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 140.1281, compared to 141.7642 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.6361 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 140.1281
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 141.7642

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 9.4044 UGX (High: 143.4981 / Low: 134.0937). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5192 UGX (High: 139.3443 / Low: 137.8251).

January Spread (Volatile) ±9.4044
July Spread (Stable) ±1.5192

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 4.8773 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.8773

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2012: 144.2896) against the same month in 2011 (average: 150.2199), the exchange rate shifted by -5.9303 (-3.95%).

2012 Avg (November) 144.2896
2011 Avg (November) 150.2199

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 143.4981 134.0937 139.3755
February 140.6945 132.9338 134.4982
March 147.0613 140.4162 142.3071
April 144.0619 142.2012 143.2506
May 143.2748 139.7534 140.9216
June 142.2150 139.1581 140.4154
July 139.3443 137.8251 138.4304
August 140.3082 138.0849 138.8184
September 141.3493 138.8094 139.7135
October 143.7849 141.4282 142.7263
November 148.1741 142.2023 144.2896
December 147.9662 145.1383 146.6070