YEARLY HIGH
1740.4634 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1568.9642 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1638.6024 UGX

2016 FJD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the FJD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 1740.4634. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 1, dropping to 1568.9642.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 171.4992 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1599.7258 to the December average rate of 1712.0923, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1740.4634 was down 0.18% compared to the 2015 peak of 1743.6637, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FJD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,702,317 UGX
2015 Average 7,738,229 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 7,844,821 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 857,495.91 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1729.0621
1578.7305
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FJD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1605.9187, compared to 1671.2861 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 65.3674 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1605.9187
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1671.2861

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 65.1040 UGX (High: 1740.4634 / Low: 1675.3593). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 20.0191 UGX (High: 1650.3576 / Low: 1630.3385).

December Spread (Volatile) ±65.1040
August Spread (Stable) ±20.0191

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 24.7898 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -24.7898

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1712.0923) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1577.5529), the exchange rate shifted by +134.5395 (+8.53%).

2016 Avg (December) 1712.0923
2015 Avg (December) 1577.5529

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1618.9542 1577.9724 1599.7258
February 1627.4073 1575.5847 1605.7769
March 1631.0305 1568.9642 1605.0052
April 1632.5785 1602.9458 1616.0480
May 1612.3938 1578.8974 1591.2581
June 1650.8127 1592.5822 1617.6983
July 1652.1263 1621.3526 1638.2075
August 1650.3576 1630.3385 1644.5678
September 1659.2842 1639.1685 1649.6295
October 1685.4905 1642.2897 1666.6851
November 1737.8614 1677.1634 1716.5345
December 1740.4634 1675.3593 1712.0923