YEARLY HIGH
116.1279 MRO
YEARLY LOW
0.3226 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
108.3121 MRO

2021 GEL to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 2, valuing the pair at 116.1279. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.3226.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 115.8054 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 108.0853 to the December average rate of 81.7566, the exchange rate registered a net change of -24.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 116.1279 was down 9.57% compared to the 2020 peak of 128.4173, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 580,640 MRO
2020 Average 574,880 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 1,613 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 579,026.82 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

118.4760
78.4184
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 107.6348, compared to 108.9895 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3547 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 107.6348
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 108.9895

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 115.3986 MRO (High: 115.7212 / Low: 0.3226). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4623 MRO (High: 115.1612 / Low: 114.6989).

December Spread (Volatile) ±115.3986
September Spread (Stable) ±0.4623

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 32.0794 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -32.0794

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2021: 115.1379) against the same month in 2020 (average: 115.4943), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3564 (-0.31%).

2021 Avg (August) 115.1379
2020 Avg (August) 115.4943

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 108.8330 107.6923 108.0853
February 108.3459 107.0731 107.7234
March 107.5301 104.6920 107.0037
April 104.9260 103.1791 103.9367
May 109.5091 103.1791 105.8647
June 114.9758 109.5091 113.1950
July 116.1081 112.7962 114.3801
August 116.1279 114.4230 115.1379
September 115.1612 114.6989 114.8791
October 114.7909 113.3333 113.9473
November 115.3473 112.7962 113.8360
December 115.7212 0.3226 81.7566