YEARLY HIGH
3.1360 RSD
YEARLY LOW
2.5197 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.8275 RSD

2012 GMD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GMD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 4, valuing the pair at 3.1360. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 17, dropping to 2.5197.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6163 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7446 to the December average rate of 2.7872, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 3.1360 was up 5.45% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.9738, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,680 RSD
2011 Average 12,980 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 12,598 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,081.55 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

3.0532
2.5794
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8239, compared to 2.8312 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0072 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8239
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.8312

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 0.3797 RSD (High: 2.9684 / Low: 2.5887). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1082 RSD (High: 2.8210 / Low: 2.7128).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3797
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1082

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2552 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2552

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 2.9823) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.5071), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4751 (+18.95%).

2012 Avg (June) 2.9823
2011 Avg (June) 2.5071

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8497 2.6612 2.7446
February 2.8116 2.6400 2.6934
March 2.8210 2.7128 2.7470
April 2.9331 2.7769 2.8599
May 3.0853 2.7907 2.9164
June 3.1360 2.8783 2.9823
July 3.1020 2.9089 3.0137
August 3.0651 2.8014 2.9877
September 2.8409 2.6703 2.7325
October 2.7207 2.5197 2.6189
November 2.9684 2.5887 2.8469
December 2.9346 2.6213 2.7872