YEARLY HIGH
0.2357 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.1475 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2149 VEF

2016 GMD to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 9, valuing the pair at 0.2357. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 31, dropping to 0.1475.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0882 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1600 to the December average rate of 0.2333, the exchange rate registered a net change of 45.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2357 was up 44.51% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1631, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,179 VEF
2015 Average 768 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 738 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 441.04 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2420
0.1481
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1961, compared to 0.2338 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0377 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1961
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2338

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0137 VEF (High: 0.1612 / Low: 0.1475). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 VEF (High: 0.2345 / Low: 0.2331).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0137
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0042 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 0.2339) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1594), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0745 (+46.73%).

2016 Avg (July) 0.2339
2015 Avg (July) 0.1594

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1611 0.1594 0.1600
February 0.1614 0.1595 0.1601
March 0.1612 0.1475 0.1559
April 0.2352 0.2328 0.2338
May 0.2341 0.2327 0.2332
June 0.2356 0.2327 0.2336
July 0.2357 0.2330 0.2339
August 0.2349 0.2324 0.2339
September 0.2350 0.2336 0.2342
October 0.2345 0.2331 0.2338
November 0.2351 0.2322 0.2337
December 0.2353 0.2307 0.2333