YEARLY HIGH
0.0774 AZN
YEARLY LOW
0.0656 AZN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0704 AZN

2016 HNL to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 0.0774. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 30, dropping to 0.0656.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0117 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0706 to the December average rate of 0.0760, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0774 was up 8.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0716, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 387 AZN
2015 Average 235 AZN
Yearly Trough Low 328 AZN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 58.61 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0769
0.0655
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0688, compared to 0.0721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0033 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0688
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0051 AZN (High: 0.0736 / Low: 0.0685). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 AZN (High: 0.0677 / Low: 0.0665).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0051
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0042 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.0760) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0539), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0221 (+40.99%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.0760
2015 Avg (December) 0.0539

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0722 0.0698 0.0706
February 0.0719 0.0690 0.0701
March 0.0736 0.0685 0.0714
April 0.0677 0.0665 0.0672
May 0.0670 0.0656 0.0664
June 0.0683 0.0658 0.0670
July 0.0705 0.0680 0.0688
August 0.0723 0.0699 0.0711
September 0.0726 0.0711 0.0720
October 0.0728 0.0699 0.0708
November 0.0751 0.0724 0.0741
December 0.0774 0.0750 0.0760