YEARLY HIGH
0.0319 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.0266 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0281 BGN

2016 HTG to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HTG to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.0319. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 0.0266.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0052 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0310 to the December average rate of 0.0279, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0319 was down 20.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0398, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 159 BGN
2015 Average 174 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 133 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 26.23 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0315
0.0265
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0286, compared to 0.0275 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0011 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0286
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0275

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0016 BGN (High: 0.0319 / Low: 0.0302). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 BGN (High: 0.0281 / Low: 0.0276).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0016
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0018 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0018

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0310) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0361), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0051 (-14.10%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0310
2015 Avg (January) 0.0361

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0319 0.0302 0.0310
February 0.0302 0.0288 0.0292
March 0.0293 0.0277 0.0284
April 0.0280 0.0274 0.0278
May 0.0282 0.0274 0.0278
June 0.0282 0.0273 0.0277
July 0.0281 0.0276 0.0279
August 0.0276 0.0269 0.0272
September 0.0272 0.0266 0.0269
October 0.0277 0.0267 0.0273
November 0.0286 0.0272 0.0279
December 0.0281 0.0275 0.0279