YEARLY HIGH
43.5594 UGX
YEARLY LOW
38.4517 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
41.3501 UGX

2025 INR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the INR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 5, valuing the pair at 43.5594. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 38.4517.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1077 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 42.7588 to the December average rate of 39.7041, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 43.5594 was down 8.65% compared to the 2024 peak of 47.6824, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 INR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,889,852 UGX
2024 Average 11,224,056 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 9,612,918 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,276,933.93 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

43.2650
38.8504
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

INR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 42.5241, compared to 40.1761 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3480 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 42.5241
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 40.1761

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 2.0667 UGX (High: 41.1872 / Low: 39.1205). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7105 UGX (High: 43.1604 / Low: 42.4499).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.0667
January Spread (Stable) ±0.7105

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.9535 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9535

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2025: 42.8971) against the same month in 2024 (average: 45.4335), the exchange rate shifted by -2.5363 (-5.58%).

2025 Avg (May) 42.8971
2024 Avg (May) 45.4335

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 43.1604 42.4499 42.7588
February 43.1864 41.8578 42.2992
March 42.8800 42.0063 42.3566
April 43.3842 42.5449 42.8534
May 43.5594 42.4200 42.8971
June 42.6282 41.5235 41.9794
July 42.0109 40.9091 41.6218
August 41.1124 40.1830 40.6683
September 40.2770 39.2803 39.7299
October 39.8215 38.4517 39.2183
November 41.1872 39.1205 40.1144
December 40.3382 39.1408 39.7041