YEARLY HIGH
0.1977 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.1130 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1475 SCR

2021 KES to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.1977. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 0.1130.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0847 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1931 to the December average rate of 0.1192, the exchange rate registered a net change of -38.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.1977 was up 1.41% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.1950, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 989 SCR
2020 Average 804 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 565 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 423.66 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.2005
0.1118
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1707, compared to 0.1244 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0463 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1707
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1244

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0627 SCR (High: 0.1910 / Low: 0.1283). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0057 SCR (High: 0.1977 / Low: 0.1921).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0627
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0057

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0394 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0394

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.1931) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.1352), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0580 (+42.90%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.1931
2020 Avg (January) 0.1352

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1977 0.1921 0.1931
February 0.1958 0.1898 0.1931
March 0.1952 0.1857 0.1930
April 0.1910 0.1283 0.1535
May 0.1535 0.1367 0.1467
June 0.1532 0.1362 0.1446
July 0.1517 0.1249 0.1368
August 0.1408 0.1168 0.1257
September 0.1274 0.1161 0.1192
October 0.1345 0.1152 0.1247
November 0.1332 0.1137 0.1206
December 0.1329 0.1130 0.1192