YEARLY HIGH
100.0860 SLL
YEARLY LOW
92.0307 SLL
YEARLY AVERAGE
95.0379 SLL

2021 KES to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 100.0860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 92.0307.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.0553 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 92.6599 to the December average rate of 99.3989, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 100.0860 was up 5.70% compared to the 2020 peak of 94.6882, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 500,430 SLL
2020 Average 432,763 SLL
Yearly Trough Low 460,153 SLL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,276.53 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

100.0728
91.9860
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 94.0213, compared to 96.0545 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0332 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 94.0213
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 96.0545

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was September, with a trading range of 1.9637 SLL (High: 95.6811 / Low: 93.7174). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7568 SLL (High: 94.3816 / Low: 93.6248).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.9637
August Spread (Stable) ±0.7568

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.8755 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8755

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 99.3989) against the same month in 2020 (average: 91.6608), the exchange rate shifted by +7.7380 (+8.44%).

2021 Avg (December) 99.3989
2020 Avg (December) 91.6608

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 93.6438 92.0307 92.6599
February 93.4951 92.4831 93.0755
March 93.6251 92.8164 93.1150
April 95.6769 93.9674 94.6522
May 95.9839 94.3673 95.2348
June 95.8672 94.8332 95.3902
July 95.1718 94.3639 94.8351
August 94.3816 93.6248 93.9596
September 95.6811 93.7174 94.4744
October 97.0945 95.3840 95.8823
November 98.8382 96.9674 97.7766
December 100.0860 98.4132 99.3989