YEARLY HIGH
2.4092 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2.1920 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.2641 UGX

2016 LBP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LBP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 2.4092. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 2.1920.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2172 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2811 to the December average rate of 2.3864, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.61% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.4092 was down 1.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.4475, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LBP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,046 UGX
2015 Average 10,738 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 10,960 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,085.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.4035
2.1980
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LBP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2401, compared to 2.2882 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0481 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2401
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.2882

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1098 UGX (High: 2.4029 / Low: 2.2931). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0128 UGX (High: 2.2484 / Low: 2.2356).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1098
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0128

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0430 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0430

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2.3864) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.2289), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1575 (+7.07%).

2016 Avg (December) 2.3864
2015 Avg (December) 2.2289

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.3064 2.2377 2.2811
February 2.2980 2.2242 2.2713
March 2.2391 2.2147 2.2283
April 2.2368 2.1920 2.2151
May 2.2421 2.1987 2.2151
June 2.2600 2.2149 2.2294
July 2.2530 2.2268 2.2383
August 2.2394 2.2251 2.2340
September 2.2484 2.2356 2.2402
October 2.2951 2.2444 2.2731
November 2.4029 2.2931 2.3572
December 2.4092 2.3614 2.3864