YEARLY HIGH
262.2705 UGX
YEARLY LOW
219.4601 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
243.0656 UGX

2021 LSL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the LSL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 262.2705. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 28, dropping to 219.4601.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 42.8104 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 244.7928 to the December average rate of 224.0315, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 262.2705 was up 0.12% compared to the 2020 peak of 261.9592, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,311,352 UGX
2020 Average 1,135,560 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,097,300 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 214,052.06 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

258.9577
220.8564
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 249.4554, compared to 236.6758 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 12.7796 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 249.4554
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 236.6758

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 18.4511 UGX (High: 237.9112 / Low: 219.4601). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.2005 UGX (High: 254.3639 / Low: 247.1634).

November Spread (Volatile) ±18.4511
April Spread (Stable) ±7.2005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 11.1800 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.1800

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2021: 255.7826) against the same month in 2020 (average: 218.0340), the exchange rate shifted by +37.7485 (+17.31%).

2021 Avg (June) 255.7826
2020 Avg (June) 218.0340

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 252.3199 239.0929 244.7928
February 253.5735 243.2037 248.2709
March 249.5086 235.9248 244.2558
April 254.3639 247.1634 251.0072
May 257.7288 245.6567 252.6229
June 262.2705 248.3584 255.7826
July 250.5692 239.0266 244.8805
August 245.8397 230.6856 238.9796
September 250.0876 233.4752 242.2434
October 249.4736 233.9151 240.5499
November 237.9112 219.4601 229.3699
December 228.1952 219.9216 224.0315