YEARLY HIGH
2.6600 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.4057 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.5918 MOP

2016 LTL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LTL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 2.6600. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 2.4057.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2543 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5771 to the December average rate of 2.4396, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.6600 was down 5.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.8012, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LTL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,300 MOP
2015 Average 13,213 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 12,029 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,271.32 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.6618
2.4194
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LTL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6179, compared to 2.5657 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0522 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6179
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5657

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1463 MOP (High: 2.5955 / Low: 2.4492). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0190 MOP (High: 2.6001 / Low: 2.5811).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1463
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0190

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0844 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0844

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 2.6410) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.6960), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0549 (-2.04%).

2016 Avg (May) 2.6410
2015 Avg (May) 2.6960

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.6018 2.5588 2.5771
February 2.6482 2.5728 2.6127
March 2.6433 2.5729 2.6075
April 2.6503 2.6305 2.6416
May 2.6600 2.6235 2.6410
June 2.6499 2.5875 2.6275
July 2.6001 2.5811 2.5910
August 2.6396 2.5937 2.6164
September 2.6384 2.6073 2.6273
October 2.6304 2.5685 2.5959
November 2.5955 2.4492 2.5240
December 2.4847 2.4057 2.4396