YEARLY HIGH
12.4359 KES
YEARLY LOW
11.9454 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.1987 KES

2021 MAD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MAD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 12.4359. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 13, dropping to 11.9454.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4905 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.3431 to the December average rate of 12.2074, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 12.4359 was down 0.87% compared to the 2020 peak of 12.5456, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 62,179 KES
2020 Average 56,176 KES
Yearly Trough Low 59,727 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,452.47 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

12.3716
12.0297
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.1899, compared to 12.2075 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0176 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.1899
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.2075

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.2870 KES (High: 12.2759 / Low: 11.9889). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1173 KES (High: 12.1802 / Low: 12.0629).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2870
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1173

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1213 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1213

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 12.3431) against the same month in 2020 (average: 10.5219), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8212 (+17.31%).

2021 Avg (January) 12.3431
2020 Avg (January) 10.5219

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.4359 12.2823 12.3431
February 12.3462 12.1889 12.2607
March 12.2899 12.0762 12.1794
April 12.2205 11.9454 12.0581
May 12.2759 11.9889 12.1368
June 12.2484 12.0926 12.1613
July 12.1802 12.0629 12.0958
August 12.2920 12.1121 12.1860
September 12.3361 12.1898 12.2840
October 12.3166 12.1867 12.2451
November 12.3295 12.1316 12.2264
December 12.2672 12.1276 12.2074