YEARLY HIGH
10.4112 DJF
YEARLY LOW
9.8356 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.0920 DJF

2021 MDL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MDL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 10.4112. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 9.8356.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5756 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3302 to the December average rate of 10.0410, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 10.4112 was down 3.98% compared to the 2020 peak of 10.8425, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,056 DJF
2020 Average 51,669 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 49,178 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,878.06 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

10.3740
9.8485
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.1069, compared to 10.0772 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0296 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.1069
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.0772

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.2965 DJF (High: 10.1816 / Low: 9.8851). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1345 DJF (High: 10.2016 / Low: 10.0671).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2965
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1345

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1674 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1674

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 10.3302) against the same month in 2020 (average: 10.2475), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0828 (+0.81%).

2021 Avg (January) 10.3302
2020 Avg (January) 10.2475

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.4112 10.1992 10.3302
February 10.3102 10.1493 10.2246
March 10.1816 9.8851 10.0572
April 10.0650 9.8545 9.9458
May 10.1140 9.9240 10.0621
June 10.1503 9.8735 10.0211
July 9.9873 9.8356 9.8923
August 10.1634 9.9642 10.0744
September 10.2016 10.0671 10.1190
October 10.3118 10.1458 10.2264
November 10.2110 10.0222 10.1102
December 10.1186 9.9812 10.0410