YEARLY HIGH
0.2160 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.1941 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2053 BGN

2018 MOP to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 0.2160. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.1941.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0219 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1991 to the December average rate of 0.2134, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2160 was down 8.26% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2355, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,080 BGN
2017 Average 1,081 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 971 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 109.31 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2153
0.1947
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2002, compared to 0.2104 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0103 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2002
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2104

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0081 BGN (High: 0.2094 / Low: 0.2013). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 BGN (High: 0.2081 / Low: 0.2059).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0081
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0026 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0026

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.2135) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2072), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0063 (+3.04%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.2135
2017 Avg (November) 0.2072

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2034 0.1954 0.1991
February 0.1989 0.1941 0.1965
March 0.1980 0.1945 0.1964
April 0.2002 0.1953 0.1971
May 0.2094 0.2013 0.2046
June 0.2091 0.2050 0.2072
July 0.2081 0.2059 0.2070
August 0.2132 0.2064 0.2098
September 0.2091 0.2058 0.2079
October 0.2135 0.2089 0.2110
November 0.2160 0.2116 0.2135
December 0.2151 0.2116 0.2134