YEARLY HIGH
5.4200 GMD
YEARLY LOW
4.8900 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.2511 GMD

2016 MOP to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 3, valuing the pair at 5.4200. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 4.8900.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5300 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9280 to the December average rate of 5.3558, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.4200 was down 1.16% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.4837, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,100 GMD
2015 Average 25,797 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 24,450 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,649.98 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.3990
4.8811
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1602, compared to 5.3420 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1818 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1602
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3420

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.4809 GMD (High: 5.3726 / Low: 4.8918). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0332 GMD (High: 5.3590 / Low: 5.3258).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4809
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0332

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0073 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0073

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 5.3558) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.9609), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3949 (+7.96%).

2016 Avg (December) 5.3558
2015 Avg (December) 4.9609

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.9490 4.8900 4.9280
February 4.9494 4.8952 4.9243
March 5.3726 4.8918 5.0836
April 5.3643 5.3103 5.3402
May 5.3591 5.3201 5.3460
June 5.3627 5.2874 5.3387
July 5.3596 5.3206 5.3415
August 5.3750 5.3004 5.3387
September 5.3527 5.3074 5.3321
October 5.3590 5.3258 5.3409
November 5.3875 5.3049 5.3429
December 5.4200 5.3062 5.3558