YEARLY HIGH
5302.9081 IRR
YEARLY LOW
5220.4075 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5265.7713 IRR

2021 MOP to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MOP to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 5302.9081. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 5220.4075.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 82.5006 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5270.6679 to the December average rate of 5260.2660, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5302.9081 was down 36.08% compared to the 2020 peak of 8295.7515, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,514,540 IRR
2020 Average 26,398,131 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 26,102,037 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 412,503.12 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

5273.0822
5258.9078
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5266.9981, compared to 5264.5445 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.4536 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5266.9981
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5264.5445

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 64.4282 IRR (High: 5302.9081 / Low: 5238.4799). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.2307 IRR (High: 5274.6313 / Low: 5263.4007).

May Spread (Volatile) ±64.4282
June Spread (Stable) ±11.2307

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 6.6509 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.6509

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 5264.9045) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5276.1565), the exchange rate shifted by -11.2519 (-0.21%).

2021 Avg (May) 5264.9045
2020 Avg (May) 5276.1565

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5287.6013 5246.9624 5270.6679
February 5276.0480 5263.7224 5271.9010
March 5281.4059 5256.2780 5265.5468
April 5283.7190 5248.9064 5262.0288
May 5302.9081 5238.4799 5264.9045
June 5274.6313 5263.4007 5266.9395
July 5278.8639 5258.2251 5266.7399
August 5269.3483 5243.8754 5260.0890
September 5276.3921 5260.6453 5265.9814
October 5281.3271 5261.0199 5268.9930
November 5271.2211 5255.5464 5265.1973
December 5284.2000 5220.4075 5260.2660