YEARLY HIGH
0.5709 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.5284 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5503 RON

2026 MOP to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 25, valuing the pair at 0.5709. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 0.5284.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0425 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5407 to the December average rate of 0.5675, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.97% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.5709 was down 5.76% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.6057, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,854 RON
2025 Average 2,782 RON
Yearly Trough Low 2,642 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 212.43 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.5707
0.5323
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5474, compared to 0.5675 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0201 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5474
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5675

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.0179 RON (High: 0.5463 / Low: 0.5284). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0039 RON (High: 0.5691 / Low: 0.5652).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0179
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0039

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0066 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0066

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 0.5641) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.5414), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0228 (+4.20%).

2026 Avg (June) 0.5641
2025 Avg (June) 0.5414

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5463 0.5284 0.5407
February 0.5386 0.5305 0.5355
March 0.5536 0.5362 0.5468
April 0.5498 0.5342 0.5403
May 0.5591 0.5499 0.5571
June 0.5709 0.5585 0.5641
July 0.5691 0.5652 0.5675