YEARLY HIGH
14.8912 RSD
YEARLY LOW
13.3282 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.9101 RSD

2016 MOP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 14.8912. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 13.3282.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5630 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.0757 to the December average rate of 14.6411, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 14.8912 was up 3.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 14.3572, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 74,456 RSD
2015 Average 68,121 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 66,641 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,815.12 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

14.7495
13.4488
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.7679, compared to 14.0522 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2842 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.7679
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.0522

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.7661 RSD (High: 14.6076 / Low: 13.8415). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1185 RSD (High: 13.8157 / Low: 13.6971).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7661
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1185

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2860 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2860

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 14.6411) against the same month in 2015 (average: 14.0272), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6138 (+4.38%).

2016 Avg (December) 14.6411
2015 Avg (December) 14.0272

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.1664 13.9835 14.0757
February 14.1023 13.5343 13.7993
March 14.1892 13.5214 13.8432
April 13.7027 13.3990 13.5572
May 13.8763 13.3282 13.6004
June 14.0577 13.5394 13.7318
July 14.0490 13.8352 13.9371
August 13.8928 13.6249 13.7566
September 13.8157 13.6971 13.7509
October 14.1602 13.7221 13.9594
November 14.6076 13.8415 14.2680
December 14.8912 14.3724 14.6411