YEARLY HIGH
1.0206 SBD
YEARLY LOW
0.9560 SBD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9761 SBD

2018 MOP to SBD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to SBD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 1.0206. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 4, dropping to 0.9560.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0646 SBD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9648 to the December average rate of 1.0031, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.97% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0206 was up 2.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.9954, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,103 SBD
2017 Average 4,867 SBD
Yearly Trough Low 4,780 SBD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 323.13 SBD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0072
0.9580
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SBD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9666, compared to 0.9855 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0189 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9666
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9855

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0342 SBD (High: 1.0206 / Low: 0.9865). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0047 SBD (High: 0.9794 / Low: 0.9747).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0342
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0047

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0027 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 1.0031) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9661), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0370 (+3.83%).

2018 Avg (December) 1.0031
2017 Avg (December) 0.9661

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9765 0.9588 0.9648
February 0.9671 0.9589 0.9624
March 0.9672 0.9589 0.9621
April 0.9676 0.9566 0.9630
May 0.9792 0.9560 0.9685
June 0.9862 0.9726 0.9788
July 0.9872 0.9735 0.9788
August 0.9794 0.9747 0.9761
September 0.9812 0.9747 0.9771
October 0.9945 0.9786 0.9857
November 1.0002 0.9777 0.9923
December 1.0206 0.9865 1.0031