YEARLY HIGH
1.8778 SCR
YEARLY LOW
1.6152 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7184 SCR

2012 MOP to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MOP to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 23, valuing the pair at 1.8778. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 1.6152.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2626 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7362 to the December average rate of 1.6403, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.8778 was up 8.72% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.7271, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,389 SCR
2011 Average 7,764 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 8,076 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,312.83 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.8386
1.6114
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7639, compared to 1.6730 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0909 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7639
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6730

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 0.1324 SCR (High: 1.7563 / Low: 1.6239). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0155 SCR (High: 1.6484 / Low: 1.6329).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1324
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0155

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1587 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1587

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 1.8196) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.5239), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2957 (+19.40%).

2012 Avg (July) 1.8196
2011 Avg (July) 1.5239

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7779 1.6653 1.7362
February 1.7941 1.7287 1.7538
March 1.7862 1.7083 1.7631
April 1.7939 1.7238 1.7543
May 1.8257 1.7304 1.7681
June 1.8406 1.7648 1.8076
July 1.8778 1.7575 1.8196
August 1.7563 1.6239 1.6609
September 1.6415 1.6152 1.6303
October 1.6570 1.6303 1.6415
November 1.6519 1.6338 1.6451
December 1.6484 1.6329 1.6403