YEARLY HIGH
0.9887 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.8733 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9792 TJS

2016 MOP to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 8, valuing the pair at 0.9887. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 0.8733.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1153 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9211 to the December average rate of 0.9851, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9887 was up 13.20% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8733, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,943 TJS
2015 Average 3,853 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 4,367 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 576.59 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9918
0.9146
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9733, compared to 0.9851 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0118 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9733
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9851

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1017 TJS (High: 0.9750 / Low: 0.8733). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 TJS (High: 0.9859 / Low: 0.9836).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1017
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 0.9852) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7977), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1875 (+23.51%).

2016 Avg (September) 0.9852
2015 Avg (September) 0.7977

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9750 0.8733 0.9211
February 0.9844 0.9762 0.9803
March 0.9871 0.9820 0.9850
April 0.9859 0.9836 0.9851
May 0.9862 0.9827 0.9840
June 0.9858 0.9822 0.9843
July 0.9869 0.9814 0.9846
August 0.9857 0.9816 0.9847
September 0.9887 0.9816 0.9852
October 0.9885 0.9821 0.9853
November 0.9874 0.9826 0.9854
December 0.9880 0.9824 0.9851