YEARLY HIGH
11.0138 CDF
YEARLY LOW
8.4128 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.0053 CDF

2016 NPR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NPR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 11.0138. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 28, dropping to 8.4128.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6011 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.6108 to the December average rate of 10.7301, the exchange rate registered a net change of 24.61% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 11.0138 was up 16.70% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.4381, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 55,069 CDF
2015 Average 45,154 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 42,064 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,005.33 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

10.9527
8.2819
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.6492, compared to 9.3615 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7123 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.6492
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.3615

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.0228 CDF (High: 10.4613 / Low: 8.4385). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0674 CDF (High: 8.7637 / Low: 8.6964).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.0228
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0674

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1063 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1063

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 10.7301) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.7262), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0039 (+22.96%).

2016 Avg (December) 10.7301
2015 Avg (December) 8.7262

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.7229 8.5191 8.6108
February 8.5882 8.4128 8.5045
March 8.7356 8.4714 8.6568
April 8.7637 8.6964 8.7261
May 8.7656 8.5794 8.6692
June 8.9064 8.5203 8.7276
July 9.1385 8.7444 8.8536
August 9.2008 9.0644 9.1250
September 9.2110 9.0670 9.1419
October 9.2340 8.9749 9.1036
November 10.4613 8.4385 9.2148
December 11.0138 10.3909 10.7301