YEARLY HIGH
2.4596 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.2659 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.3702 MOP

2016 PEN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PEN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 20, valuing the pair at 2.4596. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 25, dropping to 2.2659.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1936 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3331 to the December average rate of 2.3534, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.4596 was down 8.37% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.6841, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PEN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,298 MOP
2015 Average 12,556 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 11,330 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 968.14 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.4324
2.2734
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PEN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3662, compared to 2.3742 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0080 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3662
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3742

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.1296 MOP (High: 2.4038 / Low: 2.2742). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0332 MOP (High: 2.3790 / Low: 2.3458).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1296
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0332

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0465 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0465

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 2.4192) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.5559), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1367 (-5.35%).

2016 Avg (April) 2.4192
2015 Avg (April) 2.5559

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.3480 2.3095 2.3331
February 2.3057 2.2659 2.2866
March 2.4038 2.2742 2.3473
April 2.4596 2.3598 2.4192
May 2.4332 2.3748 2.4011
June 2.4358 2.3743 2.4099
July 2.4381 2.3796 2.4188
August 2.4170 2.3616 2.3978
September 2.3865 2.3501 2.3649
October 2.3790 2.3458 2.3601
November 2.3720 2.3356 2.3500
December 2.3904 2.3344 2.3534