YEARLY HIGH
2.5950 VEF
YEARLY LOW
2.1863 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4539 VEF

2014 PGK to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the PGK to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 30, valuing the pair at 2.5950. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 27, dropping to 2.1863.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4087 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5172 to the December average rate of 2.4468, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 2.5950 was down 13.86% compared to the 2013 peak of 3.0127, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,975 VEF
2013 Average 12,699 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 10,931 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,043.58 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

2.6110
2.2010
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3917, compared to 2.5161 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1243 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3917
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5161

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was June, with a trading range of 0.4048 VEF (High: 2.5950 / Low: 2.1902). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0240 VEF (High: 2.5472 / Low: 2.5232).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.4048
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0240

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1174 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1174

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2014: 2.4378) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.8219), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3840 (-13.61%).

2014 Avg (June) 2.4378
2013 Avg (June) 2.8219

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.5322 2.4993 2.5172
February 2.5005 2.4095 2.4660
March 2.5015 2.3270 2.4058
April 2.3731 2.2467 2.2884
May 2.2649 2.1863 2.2352
June 2.5950 2.1902 2.4378
July 2.5929 2.5666 2.5769
August 2.5713 2.5364 2.5539
September 2.5472 2.5232 2.5390
October 2.5339 2.4893 2.5099
November 2.4931 2.4507 2.4698
December 2.4708 2.4248 2.4468