YEARLY HIGH
3.8693 DJF
YEARLY LOW
3.5572 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7434 DJF

2016 PHP to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the PHP to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 8, valuing the pair at 3.8693. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 24, dropping to 3.5572.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3121 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7393 to the December average rate of 3.5852, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.8693 was down 4.70% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.0599, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 967,323 DJF
2015 Average 975,994 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 889,299 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 78,023.76 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.8583
3.5603
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7895, compared to 3.6973 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0922 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7895
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6973

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was September, with a trading range of 0.1402 DJF (High: 3.8121 / Low: 3.6719). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0304 DJF (High: 3.7426 / Low: 3.7122).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1402
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0304

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0724 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0724

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 3.8259) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.9356), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1098 (-2.79%).

2016 Avg (June) 3.8259
2015 Avg (June) 3.9356

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7869 3.6999 3.7393
February 3.7426 3.7122 3.7311
March 3.8665 3.7579 3.8139
April 3.8600 3.7820 3.8334
May 3.8158 3.7490 3.7935
June 3.8693 3.7718 3.8259
July 3.7914 3.7468 3.7692
August 3.8340 3.7632 3.8053
September 3.8121 3.6719 3.7329
October 3.7002 3.6501 3.6745
November 3.6877 3.5572 3.6164
December 3.6033 3.5600 3.5852