YEARLY HIGH
0.4762 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.4335 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4541 HNL

2018 PHP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PHP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.4762. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 0.4335.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0426 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4678 to the December average rate of 0.4596, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4762 was down 0.13% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4768, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 119,042 HNL
2017 Average 116,465 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 108,385 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,657.95 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4700
0.4435
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4563, compared to 0.4520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4563
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0345 HNL (High: 0.4680 / Low: 0.4335). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0041 HNL (High: 0.4551 / Low: 0.4509).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0345
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0041

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0128 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0128

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.4678) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4694), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0016 (-0.34%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.4678
2017 Avg (January) 0.4694

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4762 0.4595 0.4678
February 0.4600 0.4504 0.4550
March 0.4551 0.4509 0.4534
April 0.4584 0.4512 0.4550
May 0.4584 0.4524 0.4550
June 0.4576 0.4464 0.4515
July 0.4534 0.4470 0.4494
August 0.4552 0.4478 0.4508
September 0.4495 0.4428 0.4458
October 0.4514 0.4419 0.4466
November 0.4669 0.4532 0.4600
December 0.4680 0.4335 0.4596