YEARLY HIGH
2.0827 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.8563 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.9242 KES

2018 PHP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PHP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 2.0827. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 6, dropping to 1.8563.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2263 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0365 to the December average rate of 1.9358, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.0827 was down 1.15% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.1070, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 PHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 520,666 KES
2017 Average 513,122 KES
Yearly Trough Low 464,085 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 56,581.29 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.0533
1.8522
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PHP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9492, compared to 1.8991 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0501 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9492
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8991

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0914 KES (High: 2.0827 / Low: 1.9913). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0201 KES (High: 1.8977 / Low: 1.8776).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0914
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0201

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0817 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0817

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 2.0365) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.0854), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0489 (-2.34%).

2018 Avg (January) 2.0365
2017 Avg (January) 2.0854

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.0827 1.9913 2.0365
February 1.9775 1.9368 1.9548
March 1.9520 1.9256 1.9412
April 1.9495 1.9032 1.9337
May 1.9423 1.9101 1.9261
June 1.9321 1.8781 1.9029
July 1.8977 1.8776 1.8861
August 1.9043 1.8809 1.8903
September 1.8830 1.8607 1.8690
October 1.9077 1.8563 1.8747
November 1.9628 1.9063 1.9390
December 1.9610 1.9043 1.9358