YEARLY HIGH
5.0816 MDL
YEARLY LOW
4.5590 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9015 MDL

2016 RON to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RON to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 5.0816. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 4.5590.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5226 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8737 to the December average rate of 4.6940, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.0816 was down 0.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.1297, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,408 MDL
2015 Average 23,416 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 22,795 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,613.11 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.0084
4.6654
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9400, compared to 4.8630 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0770 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9400
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8630

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.2618 MDL (High: 4.8208 / Low: 4.5590). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0498 MDL (High: 4.9957 / Low: 4.9458).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.2618
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0498

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1053 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1053

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 4.9721) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.4977), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4744 (+10.55%).

2016 Avg (May) 4.9721
2015 Avg (May) 4.4977

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.9453 4.7380 4.8737
February 5.0387 4.8783 4.9727
March 4.9822 4.8677 4.9272
April 5.0423 4.9359 4.9798
May 5.0816 4.9095 4.9721
June 4.9888 4.8068 4.9145
July 4.9320 4.8463 4.8798
August 5.0020 4.9122 4.9546
September 4.9957 4.9458 4.9731
October 4.9814 4.8094 4.8775
November 4.9175 4.7315 4.7993
December 4.8208 4.5590 4.6940