YEARLY HIGH
1.3256 VEF
YEARLY LOW
1.1190 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2394 VEF

2012 RON to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RON to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 25, valuing the pair at 1.3256. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 1.1190.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2066 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2764 to the December average rate of 1.2566, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.3256 was down 15.26% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.5644, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,628 VEF
2011 Average 7,062 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 5,595 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,032.98 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.3199
1.1443
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2694, compared to 1.2094 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0600 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2694
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2094

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0999 VEF (High: 1.2189 / Low: 1.1190). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0195 VEF (High: 1.2293 / Low: 1.2098).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0999
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0522 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0522

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 1.3053) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.3810), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0757 (-5.48%).

2012 Avg (February) 1.3053
2011 Avg (February) 1.3810

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3038 1.2506 1.2764
February 1.3256 1.2835 1.3053
March 1.3121 1.2800 1.2989
April 1.3108 1.2813 1.2912
May 1.2836 1.1889 1.2390
June 1.2218 1.1861 1.2055
July 1.2189 1.1190 1.1589
August 1.2101 1.1384 1.1773
September 1.2526 1.2020 1.2269
October 1.2293 1.2098 1.2207
November 1.2355 1.2015 1.2161
December 1.2853 1.2240 1.2566