YEARLY HIGH
11.5236 CDF
YEARLY LOW
9.4641 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.4956 CDF

2012 RSD to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RSD to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 11.5236. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 25, dropping to 9.4641.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0594 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.2071 to the December average rate of 10.7118, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 11.5236 was down 16.34% compared to the 2011 peak of 13.7735, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 57,618 CDF
2011 Average 62,467 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 47,321 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,297.21 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

11.3557
9.5723
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.7438, compared to 10.2475 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4963 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.7438
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.2475

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 1.1024 CDF (High: 10.8205 / Low: 9.7181). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2105 CDF (High: 11.0281 / Low: 10.8176).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.1024
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2105

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.4754 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4754

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 11.2071) against the same month in 2011 (average: 11.5594), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3524 (-3.05%).

2012 Avg (January) 11.2071
2011 Avg (January) 11.5594

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.5236 11.0192 11.2071
February 11.4069 11.0584 11.2009
March 11.0281 10.8176 10.9342
April 11.0334 10.7196 10.8242
May 10.8205 9.7181 10.3488
June 10.2710 9.6742 9.9475
July 10.0582 9.4641 9.7309
August 9.8810 9.4961 9.7209
September 10.5025 9.8282 10.2383
October 10.8508 10.3089 10.5497
November 10.7817 10.4249 10.5334
December 10.8281 10.5708 10.7118