YEARLY HIGH
0.0750 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.0672 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0719 MOP

2016 RSD to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 0.0750. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.0672.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0079 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0710 to the December average rate of 0.0683, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0750 was down 6.16% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0800, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 375 MOP
2015 Average 367 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 336 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 39.38 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0743
0.0678
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0727, compared to 0.0712 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0014 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0727
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0712

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0038 MOP (High: 0.0722 / Low: 0.0685). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 MOP (High: 0.0730 / Low: 0.0724).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0038
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0018 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0018

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.0735) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0740), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0005 (-0.62%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.0735
2015 Avg (May) 0.0740

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0715 0.0706 0.0710
February 0.0739 0.0709 0.0725
March 0.0740 0.0705 0.0722
April 0.0746 0.0730 0.0738
May 0.0750 0.0721 0.0735
June 0.0739 0.0711 0.0728
July 0.0723 0.0712 0.0718
August 0.0734 0.0720 0.0727
September 0.0730 0.0724 0.0727
October 0.0729 0.0706 0.0716
November 0.0722 0.0685 0.0701
December 0.0696 0.0672 0.0683