YEARLY HIGH
31.2422 UGX
YEARLY LOW
27.5720 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
29.4158 UGX

2014 RSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 31.2422. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 27.5720.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6703 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 29.5182 to the December average rate of 28.0200, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 31.2422 was down 4.82% compared to the 2013 peak of 32.8246, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 156,211 UGX
2013 Average 151,910 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 137,860 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,351.34 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

30.9113
27.7572
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.9065, compared to 28.9250 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9815 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.9065
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.9250

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 1.4499 UGX (High: 30.3016 / Low: 28.8518). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4561 UGX (High: 30.4656 / Low: 30.0095).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.4499
April Spread (Stable) ±0.4561

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.1596 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1596

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 30.6485) against the same month in 2013 (average: 29.7415), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9070 (+3.05%).

2014 Avg (July) 30.6485
2013 Avg (July) 29.7415

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 30.3016 28.8518 29.5182
February 30.0518 28.7989 29.0940
March 30.6657 29.8010 30.2618
April 30.4656 30.0095 30.1975
May 30.3662 29.7965 30.0419
June 30.7345 29.9778 30.3257
July 31.2422 30.0623 30.6485
August 30.0093 29.1052 29.6069
September 29.1144 28.1937 28.4473
October 28.8430 27.8873 28.4206
November 28.7230 27.9960 28.4069
December 28.6371 27.5720 28.0200