2014 RSD నుండి UGX చారిత్రక సమీక్ష
2014 సంవత్సరం పొడవునా మారకపు రేటు పనితీరు యొక్క సమగ్ర విశ్లేషణ.
2014 RSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014
During 2014, the RSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 31.2422. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 27.5720.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6703 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 29.5182 to the December average rate of 28.0200, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 31.2422 was down 4.82% compared to the 2013 peak of 32.8246, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.
RSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.9065, compared to 28.9250 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9815 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 1.4499 UGX (High: 30.3016 / Low: 28.8518). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4561 UGX (High: 30.4656 / Low: 30.0095).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.1596 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 30.6485) against the same month in 2013 (average: 29.7415), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9070 (+3.05%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 30.3016 | 28.8518 | 29.5182 |
| February | 30.0518 | 28.7989 | 29.0940 |
| March | 30.6657 | 29.8010 | 30.2618 |
| April | 30.4656 | 30.0095 | 30.1975 |
| May | 30.3662 | 29.7965 | 30.0419 |
| June | 30.7345 | 29.9778 | 30.3257 |
| July | 31.2422 | 30.0623 | 30.6485 |
| August | 30.0093 | 29.1052 | 29.6069 |
| September | 29.1144 | 28.1937 | 28.4473 |
| October | 28.8430 | 27.8873 | 28.4206 |
| November | 28.7230 | 27.9960 | 28.4069 |
| December | 28.6371 | 27.5720 | 28.0200 |