YEARLY HIGH
3.0441 RSD
YEARLY LOW
2.5254 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.8284 RSD

2012 RUB to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RUB to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 3.0441. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 2.5254.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5187 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5948 to the December average rate of 2.8127, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 3.0441 was up 13.99% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.6705, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,221 RSD
2011 Average 12,442 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 12,627 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,593.48 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

3.0149
2.5566
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7892, compared to 2.8675 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0783 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7892
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.8675

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.2004 RSD (High: 2.8404 / Low: 2.6399). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0414 RSD (High: 2.8858 / Low: 2.8444).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2004
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0414

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1006 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 2.9767) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.4696), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5071 (+20.53%).

2012 Avg (August) 2.9767
2011 Avg (August) 2.4696

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.6690 2.5254 2.5948
February 2.8404 2.6399 2.7411
March 2.8875 2.8201 2.8561
April 2.8858 2.8444 2.8712
May 2.9015 2.8434 2.8704
June 2.8464 2.7260 2.8016
July 3.0054 2.8097 2.9194
August 3.0441 2.9029 2.9767
September 2.9152 2.8371 2.8761
October 2.8788 2.7639 2.8184
November 2.8341 2.7790 2.8018
December 2.8633 2.7768 2.8127