YEARLY HIGH
8.3568 SOS
YEARLY LOW
7.4628 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.8867 SOS

2021 RUB to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RUB to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 8.3568. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 10, dropping to 7.4628.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8940 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.8012 to the December average rate of 7.8753, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 8.3568 was down 12.80% compared to the 2020 peak of 9.5838, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,784 SOS
2020 Average 40,372 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 37,314 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,470.17 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

8.2106
7.5814
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.8242, compared to 7.9492 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1249 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.8242
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.9492

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.5529 SOS (High: 8.2363 / Low: 7.6834). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1591 SOS (High: 7.9195 / Low: 7.7604).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5529
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1591

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1884 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1884

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 8.1581) against the same month in 2020 (average: 7.4913), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6669 (+8.90%).

2021 Avg (October) 8.1581
2020 Avg (October) 7.4913

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9589 7.5908 7.8012
February 7.9428 7.6157 7.8177
March 7.9859 7.5805 7.8080
April 7.8103 7.4628 7.6339
May 7.9917 7.7216 7.8654
June 8.1308 7.9012 8.0193
July 7.9195 7.7604 7.8498
August 7.9782 7.7770 7.8757
September 8.0940 7.8830 7.9664
October 8.3568 7.9742 8.1581
November 8.2363 7.6834 7.9698
December 7.9777 7.7888 7.8753