YEARLY HIGH
4.3402 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.8249 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1077 UGX

2012 RWF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RWF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 10, valuing the pair at 4.3402. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 3.8249.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5153 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0160 to the December average rate of 4.2923, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 4.3402 was down 10.41% compared to the 2011 peak of 4.8443, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,701 UGX
2011 Average 21,151 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 19,124 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,576.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

4.3330
3.8453
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0633, compared to 4.1520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0887 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0633
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.2724 UGX (High: 4.1362 / Low: 3.8638). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0509 UGX (High: 4.1321 / Low: 4.0812).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2724
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0509

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1300 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1300

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 4.2923) against the same month in 2011 (average: 4.0862), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2061 (+5.04%).

2012 Avg (December) 4.2923
2011 Avg (December) 4.0862

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1362 3.8638 4.0160
February 4.0739 3.8249 3.8860
March 4.2639 4.0461 4.1149
April 4.1810 4.0889 4.1469
May 4.1551 4.0674 4.1061
June 4.1499 4.0537 4.1100
July 4.0957 4.0416 4.0652
August 4.1210 4.0537 4.0765
September 4.1321 4.0812 4.1014
October 4.2072 4.1026 4.1595
November 4.3390 4.1493 4.2172
December 4.3402 4.2304 4.2923