YEARLY HIGH
2.1614 MOP
YEARLY LOW
2.1329 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.1521 MOP

2018 SAR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SAR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 11, valuing the pair at 2.1614. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 2.1329.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0285 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1472 to the December average rate of 2.1480, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.1614 was down 0.01% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.1617, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,807 MOP
2017 Average 10,698 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 10,665 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 142.39 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.1564
2.1463
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1524, compared to 2.1518 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1524
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.1518

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0238 MOP (High: 2.1588 / Low: 2.1349). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0046 MOP (High: 2.1510 / Low: 2.1465).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0238
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0046

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0035 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0035

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 2.1552) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.1415), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0137 (+0.64%).

2018 Avg (July) 2.1552
2017 Avg (July) 2.1415

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.1588 2.1349 2.1472
February 2.1510 2.1465 2.1487
March 2.1576 2.1479 2.1531
April 2.1583 2.1472 2.1555
May 2.1583 2.1392 2.1550
June 2.1594 2.1427 2.1551
July 2.1614 2.1536 2.1552
August 2.1582 2.1475 2.1549
September 2.1580 2.1438 2.1527
October 2.1584 2.1431 2.1518
November 2.1515 2.1329 2.1484
December 2.1578 2.1426 2.1480