YEARLY HIGH
1.0460 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.9798 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0247 MOP

2018 SBD to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SBD to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 1.0460. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.9798.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0662 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0365 to the December average rate of 0.9971, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0460 was down 0.59% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0522, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,230 MOP
2017 Average 5,137 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 4,899 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 331.15 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0437
0.9928
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SBD to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0346, compared to 1.0148 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0198 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0346
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0148

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0339 MOP (High: 1.0137 / Low: 0.9798). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0049 MOP (High: 1.0259 / Low: 1.0210).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0339
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0049

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0108 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 1.0325) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.0173), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0152 (+1.49%).

2018 Avg (May) 1.0325
2017 Avg (May) 1.0173

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0430 1.0240 1.0365
February 1.0428 1.0341 1.0391
March 1.0428 1.0339 1.0394
April 1.0453 1.0335 1.0385
May 1.0460 1.0213 1.0325
June 1.0282 1.0140 1.0217
July 1.0273 1.0129 1.0217
August 1.0259 1.0210 1.0245
September 1.0259 1.0191 1.0234
October 1.0219 1.0055 1.0145
November 1.0228 0.9998 1.0077
December 1.0137 0.9798 0.9971