YEARLY HIGH
6.4040 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.0254 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.1729 UGX

2021 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 6.4040. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 12, dropping to 6.0254.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3786 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3529 to the December average rate of 6.1128, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.4040 was down 4.89% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.7336, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,020 UGX
2020 Average 31,989 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 30,127 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,893.22 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

6.3803
6.0513
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2323, compared to 6.1135 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1188 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2323
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.1135

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.2087 UGX (High: 6.3318 / Low: 6.1231). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0806 UGX (High: 6.3405 / Low: 6.2599).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2087
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0806

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1357 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1357

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 6.3529) against the same month in 2020 (average: 6.3388), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0141 (+0.22%).

2021 Avg (January) 6.3529
2020 Avg (January) 6.3388

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4040 6.2875 6.3529
February 6.3405 6.2599 6.3104
March 6.3352 6.2501 6.2931
April 6.3318 6.1231 6.2451
May 6.1948 6.0422 6.1094
June 6.1463 6.0254 6.0830
July 6.1719 6.0586 6.1188
August 6.1416 6.0524 6.1072
September 6.1264 6.0333 6.0787
October 6.2497 6.0498 6.1499
November 6.1806 6.0354 6.1136
December 6.1743 6.0399 6.1128