YEARLY HIGH
0.9168 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.8534 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8831 MOP

2018 TJS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TJS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 20, valuing the pair at 0.9168. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 24, dropping to 0.8534.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0634 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9131 to the December average rate of 0.8552, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.9168 was down 9.87% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0171, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,584 MOP
2017 Average 4,676 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 4,267 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 316.80 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.9215
0.8492
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9076, compared to 0.8587 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0489 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9076
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8587

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0235 MOP (High: 0.8812 / Low: 0.8577). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 MOP (High: 0.8588 / Low: 0.8578).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0235
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0207 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0207

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 0.9155) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9811), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0657 (-6.70%).

2018 Avg (March) 0.9155
2017 Avg (March) 0.9811

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9142 0.9121 0.9131
February 0.9142 0.9127 0.9133
March 0.9168 0.9138 0.9155
April 0.9165 0.9092 0.9129
May 0.9093 0.8980 0.9008
June 0.8992 0.8809 0.8900
July 0.8812 0.8577 0.8692
August 0.8588 0.8578 0.8584
September 0.8588 0.8534 0.8567
October 0.8578 0.8558 0.8568
November 0.8567 0.8551 0.8558
December 0.8592 0.8534 0.8552